Cait is a decorated Army veteran and national security expert. A fourth-generation Hudson Valley native, Cait served 16 years in the U.S. Army with six overseas deployments and later led counterterrorism efforts at the National Security Council and election security at the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency. She’s been a mission-driven, independent leader focused on protecting democracy, lowering costs, and strengthening critical infrastructure, bringing real-world experience to the fight to deliver results for working families.

New York’s 17th congressional district is located in the lower Hudson Valley, just north of New York City, spanning Rockland and Putnam Counties and parts of Westchester and Dutchess. It’s a highly suburban, affluent, and diverse district with an economy tied to finance, healthcare, and professional services.

Politically, NY-17 is one of the nation’s most competitive swing seats: it’s rated near even and has recently voted for both parties in top races. NY-17 has a PVI of D+1, and Harris won the district by less than a point in 2024.

The district is on the DCCC’s Red to Blue list for the 2026 election cycle.

You can watch the episode here.

I asked Cait about what her message is to win in this district and why she’s the candidate best-suited to flip this seat in November.

When I look at this, it’s the same way I looked at service in uniform. You’re out there fighting for everyone. When I was out there putting my life on the line for our community, for our country, I never cared if someone was registered for one party or the other, or even if they voted.

What I cared about was they were here, and my job was to protect them. And so for this, I look at it the same way: Government’s job is to deliver for the people, not a party, not people of a party, but people. And we’ve gotten way too far away from that.

My frustration with what is going on is it’s not just because of Trump and this administration. Don’t get me wrong — there is a lot of that. But it’s also because even before Trump, things were broken.

And so to your point on what is my message to win, 28 percent of registered voters in New York-17 are unaffiliated or independent. A Democrat or Republican cannot win this district with just their registered voters alone. You have to have a candidate who is going to get voters to choose them as a person, not just a party. And so my message to them is, “I want to be your fighter.”

I know you’re frustrated. I know things have gotten really, really hard. And government has failed. I know you feel like America no longer works for working families. And you’re right. And my commitment to you, as someone who’s grown up in these working class families, is I will go in there every day and make sure we fix what is wrong. That we focus on delivering, not excuses. And that’s the lifestyle I come from. You don’t get to hide behind excuses and, “oh man, I wish it had happened this way.” Where I come, the stakes don’t get any higher, and you find a way to still succeed. And so for this district, service matters. I don’t like to quote Mike Lawler, but I quote him here because it’s part of how I’m going to beat him: He talks about how New York-17 is “a district of heroes,” where over 50% of households are either veterans, the family of veterans, first responders, or the family of first responders. And so, Lauren, when we talk about service and the reflection of character that service means, the Hudson Valley gets it.

I went into service because of these communities in the Hudson Valley. And that’s going to be a big part of earning their trust.

Support Cait in NY-17

If elected, Cait would be part of what could be a majority-Democratic Congress. I asked her what she thinks should be the message from Democrats about meeting voters’ needs and how she thinks elected Members of this next Congress can prove the Democratic Party can be effective leaders for this moment.

We have to focus on working and delivering. “We are here to work and deliver” must be our North Star. And we have to actually be true to that, not just in words and slogans, but in actions.

We talk about how the Democratic Party has lost so much of this country, but we have failed to communicate effectively, using both the wrong messengers and the wrong messages. We haven’t delivered in a way that has actually made people’s lives better, so I think we have to be more than just slogans and truly recognize we’re in this place because we, too, have failed to meet the moment as a Democratic Party and must do better. And if we do that — if we follow through, if we deliver — then we earn the trust of people and their support; we get them to believe in the institutions again.

I think that is essential because right now you are seeing Americans losing faith in the American government and apathy taking hold. I do believe the Democratic Party has tremendous opportunity come this November, but where I caution everyone is just because you see frustration and anger toward one side doesn’t mean people are automatically supporting the other side. And it is this distance that we must close. This is the work that we must do to bring people over. That is about us showing up and being those leaders that the people deserve and need.

We have to deliver no matter who is sitting where. And in that way, I think it’s not just about a single leader. I think it’s about having the right people who can speak on the right message and carry the level of credibility necessary to help bring the American people along.

I think for too long, the Democratic Party has had this strategy in its communications where it’s like, “oh, if we’re right, people will follow.” And I’m like, “no, no, no. If you want to be effective, you’ve got to bring people along.” And so that has to be our focus: on how we move forward.

Lastly, Cait and I had a conversation about why it’s so important to be a depolarizing presence in politics when so much of the political environment is so polarized.

Right now, polarization, I think, is the biggest reason our nation is failing. We have seen how partisanship and this degree of polarization has torn apart not just this country, but communities and families.

We have to get back to the point where I believe this nation is at its best, which is when we have two healthy political parties. They can differ on the path, but we share a goal of what’s best for this nation and how we get there, which is America at its best.

This Republican Party is not the real Republican Party. It is a MAGA cult loyal to Donald Trump, not this country, not service, not the people. I’m sorry to say that, but that is the reality we are facing. I hope that gets fixed. But right now, that is broken. And so I do believe we need leaders to step up who say, “I don’t care how you politically identify. What I care about is that you’re a member of our community, of our country. And we owe you better.”

When you look at us as a nation, we share so many of the same values, far more that unify us than divide us. We just keep focusing on the differences. And that can’t be the way forward. Because at the end of the day, we’re neighbors first; we’re Americans first — not Democrat or Republican. I believe we have to get back to that.

That’s what it’s like in the military: In the military, it’s about the mission. No one cares what color you are, if you’re a man or a woman, what your political affiliation is. They just care that you’re there, and you’re there to serve, and you’re going to have their back.

I believe the way we tackle hard problems is by coming together and being willing to work together to find the right solutions. And that can’t happen if we continue to be just these polarized echo chambers that would rather yell and complain and get angry instead of solve things.

What gives me hope is the fact that the majority of people are sick of it, too. People are fed up. They don’t want more tearing at one another; they want government to do its damn job. They want people who are going to solve problems and be serious professionals who are trying to do the hard work. That is what gives me hope as someone who has spent over a year on the trail, going to every corner of this district — a district that I believe represents so much of America.

People want better, and they know they deserve better. And better means focusing on the mission. And in this case, the mission is making sure America’s best days are still ahead of us.

Support Cait in NY-17

Sarah serves in the Iowa State Senate and has flipped not one but two seats in the Iowa Senate. She defeated a popular Republican mayor in 2020, and in 2022 after redistricting, she was drawn into a district with a Democratic colleague. Instead of running in a primary against her colleague, Sarah uprooted her home and moved to a neighboring district to take on the GOP Senate president in an R+5 district. Not only did she win, but she beat him by three points while running 10 points ahead of the top of the ticket. Sarah has a proven track record of over-performance and is the only Democrat in Iowa to flip multiple seats in districts that Trump won.

Notably, Sarah is also a Lutheran minister and works at an interfaith food pantry network.

Iowa’s 3rd congressional district encompasses central and southern Iowa. Iowa-3 has a Cook PVI of R+2, and Trump won the district by 4 points in 2024. The district is on the DCCC’s Red to Blue list for the 2026 cycle.

You can watch the episode here.

Support Sarah Trone Garriott

As a person of faith and faith leader, I asked Sarah why more Democrats don’t talk about their faith when it is often an important part of their lives and can help voters connect through values.

Faith is important to a lot of people, but I think a lot of well-intentioned people have felt like it’s not polite to talk about religion or religion and politics together, and they don’t have practice. They’re not sure how to do it in a way that’s respectful, and all they’ve seen is the religious right and religious extremism, and the way that that happens, they don’t want anything to do with that. So they say, “well, I’m just not going to be that, so I’m not going to talk about that.” But it’s a really important thing to do because it’s a good way to connect with people.

There are a lot of common values across religions and even for folks who are not religious. We need to bring our whole selves to what we do. And I think it’s important for elected leaders to help share about who they are to the public. For some folks, [talking about their faith] just feels so personal — “I don’t want anyone to know about it.” But, hey, it’s about how we live together and how we’re called to be a person in this world. So I spent a lot of time encouraging my colleagues in not even just talking about your own faith, but getting to know what matters to other people. And so showing up for faith communities, spending time with religious communities in their special moments, getting to know about your neighbors of faith. Even within Christianity, there’s a lot of diversity.

Getting to know your neighbors shows you respect them. It shows they matter to you. And then you know something about them, which helps you serve them better.

During her time in the state legislature, Sarah broke with Democrats to support tax cuts for middle-class Iowans. One of my favorite STG stances is simply that she’s not going to be bossed around, whether that’s by establishment figures, interest groups, or fellow members of the Democratic Party.

At the state level and at the federal level, we need to address corruption. At the state level, I have filed bills for term limits because I think it’s important that people are working hard for their districts and listening to their constituents and they can’t just take a seat for granted. There are a lot of folks in safe seats who just hang out. And we need to have new voices and new perspectives coming up through the political process. I think term limits could help with that. It’s also accountability for folks who can’t just park there and be there forever.

I’ve also filed a bill to prevent stock trading at the state level because no one should be getting rich off of the decisions they’re making in state government. Those are both pieces of legislation I would gladly work on at the federal level because the system is not working for people. There are some real problems, and we need to address them. That also includes campaign finance reform. The way that money has such a loud voice in this process is really disturbing, and we need some real transformation when it comes to that issue, like a constitutional amendment to overturn Citizens United, and banning corporate PAC money in elections.

There are a lot of things we can do to make the process fairer so that people are truly accountable to their voters and not able to ignore them.

As I mentioned in the intro, Sarah defeated the GOP Senate president and ran 10 points ahead of the top of the ticket after getting drawn out of her district. That doesn’t just happen, and she shared more about how that result came to be.

What I’ve heard from people in my community is they want something different. I’ve knocked thousands of doors — mostly Republican and independent doors — in my state Senate districts. And what I hear repeatedly from folks is they’re sick of politics, they’ve lost trust, and they’ve lost confidence. They don’t feel like it’s working for them.

But I also hear from folks that they don’t vote for the party — they vote for the person. If they don’t meet the person, they default to the party.

So it’s up to me as a candidate, as an elected leader, to get out there and be present to people and help them get to know me. That takes a lot of work. That means knocking thousands of doors in all kinds of weather. That means showing up and hosting open town halls. That means being present on the radio and digital communications and social media. There are a lot of places you can meet people, and I try to take every opportunity I can to show up for people because I’m always going to learn something from them. And in this election, people are looking for something different. They want something better. They can see what we’ve got is not working; it’s more political games, it’s more folks not getting to work on the issues that are making the difference for their lives and just giving a lot of talking, excuses. And that’s what we saw when Trump came to town this week. That’s what we’ve been seeing from our Congressman Zach Nunn.

They don’t want excuses anymore. They want someone who’s really going to get to work. And in every way, in every job I’ve had, in every role I’ve been in, that’s what I do. I get things done. I listen, and I show up, and I work harder than anyone. And that resonates with people because that’s what they deserve.

In my last question to Sarah, I asked how her candidacy contributes to a vision of the Democratic Party that can win in the future and in election cycles to come.

I’m running because I want to make things better for my neighbors. I’m running because I want politics to work for people. I’m running because I want my party to be better. I know we can be. There are a lot of opportunities to improve. And I want to share what I’ve learned from running really hard races, and I want to be part of making a better future for our country and for our state.

It’s about showing up, it’s about listening, and it’s about connecting with people and making new relationships with folks that might not see everything the same way, but there is a tremendous amount of common ground. And that’s what I hear from my neighbors. The greatest issue, the greatest need, honestly, for them is they want someone to heal the division. They want someone to bring people together. They love their neighbors. They love their friends. They have different political perspectives, but they want to be together as part of the community.

We’ve got a lot of division and a lot of animosity, but that’s not what they want, and they know it’s hurting us all. We can be part of making that change. And I want to help my political party be part of making a better future.

You can support Sarah via Welcome’s Win the Middle slate.

Christina ran for Congress in 2022 in a previous iteration of the district
and went back for a rematch against Miller-Meeks in 2024. Christina lost that race by just 798 votes, the second-closest race in the country.

In her 2024 congressional campaign, Bohannan made a point to meet constituents in rural areas where voters had not seen or heard from Democrats in years. She was also able to differentiate herself by opposing Democratic policies that were not popular among voters like student loan debt cancellation and calling on President Biden to drop out of the race. This helped her achieve the strongest over-performance of any other Democratic challenger in the country, outperforming Harris by 8.2% and running 11.3 points ahead of a generic Democrat in her district.

All of this has put her in a great position to flip this crucial seat for her rematch against Miller-Meeks in 2026.

Iowa-1 has a Cook PVI of R+4, and Trump won the district by 8 points in 2024.
The district is on the DCCC's Red to Blue list.

You can watch the episode here.

Christina and I had a dynamic conversation where she shed light on the specific ways she differentiates from the traditional Democrat to earn trust in this conservative-leaning district. She emphasized the importance of independent-mindedness, bipartisanship, and diversity in thought as an elected leader:

We need to elect people who are independent-minded and in the middle — People who are trying to work with both parties to get things done and who are not constantly beholden to what their party leaders are telling them to do, or what the special interests or what the donors are telling them to do… The fact is that when you have representatives who are just taking tons of money from corporate PACs and special interests and from their very wealthy and influential donors, then that’s who they’re listening to. They’re not focused on the people right there in their district. And I think this is what has happened with Miller-Meeks… She’s become so entrenched in the Washington, D.C. bubble, listening to the people in her own party, and shutting out all other voices and her constituents. I don’t think she knows anymore what this district needs.

Christina also spoke about why supporting and listening to Democrats running in competitive and conservative districts is so important, particularly for the party overall, and how she feels privileged to be running in a swing district like hers.

I think it’s critical that we elect Democrats from very difficult districts for a number of reasons. What I would say to my friends in these safe Democratic districts who might want to take further left positions is if you want to win the majority and do anything for people, we’ve got to win my seat. So don’t tell me what we need to do here. You should be listening to what we’re hearing in these kinds of districts because these are the swing districts that are really going to make the difference.

I’m not running to make big statements and comment on the latest social media thing or make these far sweeping statements about different issues. I want to win this election so that I can actually do some real good for the people of Iowa. That’s why I’m in this. So we have to think about why the national Democratic brand has become so unpopular and so toxic. If we ever want to do anything for people again, that’s something that we really have to reckon with, and we have to have those tough conversations within our party…

And I will be honest and say I wouldn’t want my district to be a safe D district. I would not choose that. Because this is really more the heart of the country. This is the middle. It’s a little right-leaning right now, but it went for Obama twice. This is a classic swing district. This is where most Americans are. And I feel extremely privileged to be running in a district like that because I feel like we get more at the truth because we can see both sides of every argument. We can see how it’s affecting people, and we can see where most people really are.

I don’t want to be in a district that’s a bubble that doesn’t really reflect the entire country. I don’t want this to be a safe district or to be a super left-leaning district. I just want to meet you where you are and hear what’s happening in your daily life and see how I can help to make that better. And I think that that breaks down a lot of barriers. And I’ve heard from Marie [Gluesenkamp Perez]. She says something along the same lines that we don’t want to be judgmental and condescending, right? We need to start with respect. So I just feel a tremendous sense of honor and privilege that I have the opportunity to run in a district like this one. And I wouldn’t change it one bit.”

Finally, I asked Christina why so many Democrats who get elected to Congress fail to remain true to their values and their constituents when they’re elected, and how she plans to govern if elected:

I think a lot of people go to Congress with good intentions and then they get there and it’s just way harder in these interpersonal ways than they expect, even within their own caucuses…. When you’re talking with your caucus… that gives you strength as a member to go in and say, “No, let me tell you about my district. Let me tell you about what is happening there.” If you don’t have those stories, if you don’t have that knowledge about your own district, then you can’t fight for them… And, frankly, the other piece is just confidence. You’ve got to be confident in your beliefs and in your abilities. You can’t get bullied or intimidated by your party leaders or lobbyists or the corporate PACs or special interests. Sometimes they’ll say, “Oh, I need you to sign on to this thing.” And I’m like, “No, I’m not doing that.” We have some special interest groups who want you to sign on to all of these crazy positions and things and you just have to say no.

And sometimes that’s hard when it’s a big name national group that you were fully expecting to endorse you and then it turns out that they want you to say things that are just not consistent with the people of your district. You have to have the confidence and the courage to say “No, I’m not doing that,” and to stand up to the people…

We have to have confidence that what we’re doing is right and not allow ourselves to be intimidated or bullied or told that you’re a bad person because you’re not supporting this bill or that bill or whatever. We have to be willing to just stand up and say, “Look, I know my district, I know my people, and this is not the right thing for my district.”

Christina is part of Welcome’s Win the Middle slate for the 2026 election cycle. You can support her race here.

Then Punchbowl News reported that WinRed, the Republican version of ActBlue, was embedded in the site's metadata. The "progressive" group was wired into GOP fundraising infrastructure, it is a Republican operation to pick the Democrats they'd rather run against in November. In California's 22nd, Republicans aren't even bothering to hide it: the Congressional Leadership Fund has spent nearly $60,000 on mailers branding primary challenger Randy Villegas as a "lifelong Democrat" who "opposes President Trump's policies," a transparent attempt to boost him with Democratic voters.

The message is unmistakable. Republicans see Dr. Jasmeet Bains as the candidate they don't want to face. But several leftwing groups—including David Hogg's SuperPAC, Leaders We Deserve, along with the Congressional Progressive Caucus and Working Families Party—are also dumping resources into the race using nearly identical messaging to boost her far-left primary opponent, Randy Villegas. This is the Left-Right Pincer in action. Dynamic leaders like Bains get whacked from both the purity-test left and a Republican Party that can't beat a pragmatic candidate in the general election.

In today’s episode of the Winner, Winner podcast, I’m in conversation with Dr. Jasmeet Bains, who’s running for Congress in California’s 22nd congressional district against Republican David Valadeo.

Dr. Bains is a frontline physician and California State Assembly member. The first South Asian woman elected to the Assembly, Dr. Bains has been a fearless, independent voice and vote, bucking special interests to protect the Central Valley’s economy and healthcare access.

California’s 22nd congressional district sits in the Central Valley, anchored in Bakersfield and stretching north toward the Fresno suburbs. It is a heavily working-class district shaped by agriculture, energy, and logistics, where voters are primarily driven by the cost of living, water access, fuel prices, and job stability.

Following new maps adopted after Proposition 50 in 2025, CA-22 has been significantly reshaped, altering its political landscape ahead of the 2026 cycle. CA-22 now has a PVI of D+1, and Trump won the district by 1.8 points in 2024. The district is on the DCCC’s Red to Blue list for the 2026 cycle.

Here on the Winner, Winner podcast by Welcome, we speak with the Democratic Party candidates who prove they can win the middle, beat Republicans on Trump turf, and recalibrate the party to the median voter. Here at Welcome we work to strengthen a centrist faction that wins and governs responsibly. We support centrist Democrats running in Trump districts through WelcomePAC.

In this episode, Dr. Bains highlights the relationship between her public health and public service careers. Being a member of the California Assembly and congressional candidate hasn’t stopped Dr. Bains from seeing patients; she still does hours in the clinic most weekends!

Dr. Bains also emphasized her commitment to serving her constituents over party interests:

I grew up in an area where politics is very divisive, and people don’t even want to hear about politics.

My parents immigrated here. We are happy and proud Democrats. It’s the party of immigrants. It’s the party that really worked toward protecting immigrants, and that was important to my mother and father and my grandparents.

I’ve been a Democrat my entire life, and I’m proud of it. But at the same time, when you were elected to represent an area, I think a lot of politicians quickly forget that it’s the voters you are representing; it’s that area, that district, and the constituents. You’re not representing the Democratic Party, you’re not representing the Republican Party — you’re representing those people who voted for you.

When I got up to Sacramento, the very first vote I took was not to destroy oil and gas, which my community relies on for jobs and for health care. I had first-hand knowledge of that when I was out in Taft providing care. As the only doctor out there, I saw the demonization of the oil industries. What I saw as a doctor was people losing access to healthcare insurance and people who died because they could not get access to life-saving medications.

In a lot of ways, the Central Valley was left behind in a pursuit of a transition. And then people get very divisive, “Oh, you’re against transition.” No. This is about listening to the other side, not getting so into the, “I’m right, everybody else is wrong.” Please take a second. Listen to the stories of why people do certain things.

Why was Dr. Bains the only Democrat in the entire legislature who voted against decimating oil and gas? Dr. Bains represents a community that relies on that for jobs, and that’s access to healthcare. You cannot fight corporations and also fight for access for healthcare at the same time because the reality is those corporations are providing access to healthcare insurance in those areas.

Because of the policies, because of the decimation of industries in the Central Valley, now we have the most amount of patients in the state and country that rely on Medicaid because those private insurances were being provided by the industry.

Sacramento shut down our industries, which is access to private insurance. Any physician can tell you we want our patients to have good private healthcare insurance. Medicaid is a band-aid; it doesn’t cover anything, and there’s always changes and cuts to it. And then you have D.C. that cut it by a trillion dollars and added work requirements in an area that has inadequate access to jobs.

You literally took away everything from this community overnight.

My constituents are people who don’t care about Democrat or Republican because they’ve been screwed by both. My independent streak happens because I’m a doctor…This is an area that’s very unique, and there is not a cookie-cutter solution for this community, and that’s why you cannot have extremists who represent this community.

My [primary] opponent likes to say he is fighting for the soul of the Democratic Party. I’m fighting for the soul of the valley. I’m fighting for my community, not fighting for a party, not fighting to represent this or that. The only thing that Dr. Bains is fighting for is for the Valley… because it’s my constituents, my voters who I will always listen to over any political idea or anything political party because this is a very unique area.

The things I saw and my experiences in rural California are what shape me and what I bring to the floor of the Assembly. And it’s my experiences in the clinic because I get to see in real time the impacts of legislation as I go back to provide healthcare on the weekends.

This is an area that needs a person who’s not going to adhere to fighting for the soul of a party but are going to be strong and say, “I’m fighting for the soul of the Valley. I am here to represent the Valley,” and has really done the work, been out to those areas, provided services, and listened not to a party but listened to the people and what their needs are.

You can support Dr. Jasmeet Bains in CA-22 via the Win the Middle slate here.

Shannon is part of Welcome’s Win the Middle slate for the 2026 cycle, and we wrote about her in our endorsement of her campaign last year:

Shannon is the only candidate in the [CO-08] primary who’s won contested campaigns, and she’s working to build the broadest coalition possible. With her bio, record, and commitment to service, Shannon is uniquely positioned to not only flip this must-win district “blue” in 2026, but to remain in elected office for cycles to come.

Shannon served in the Colorado State House for seven years and has been a pragmatic voice and leader for Democrats in the state. As a results-oriented legislator with an independent streak, Shannon has built a record of challenging the status quo to deliver tangible outcomes for her constituents.

In the state legislature, Shannon focused on issues that resonate across party lines: protecting Colorado jobs, improving public safety, and expanding economic opportunity. She has consistently shown a willingness to take politically difficult votes when they align with the needs of her district, reinforcing her credibility with moderate and unaffiliated voters.

Colorado’s 8th congressional district is the near definition of a swing seat and is likely to play a decisive role in determining the control of the U.S. House in 2026.

Located just north of Denver, the district includes many of the region’s northern suburbs. CO-08 has a Cook PVI of even and is currently rated as a toss-up, and Trump won the district by 2 points in 2024.

The district is on the DCCC’s Districts in Play list, a possible precursor to being added to its prized Red to Blue list.

In our conversation, Shannon shares remarkably thoughtful takes on governance and effective leadership.

When we’re elected into office, we are vested with a vote, and that’s a vote on behalf of the people who sent us there.

It’s not my vote — my own personal capacity, my own wishes, how I’d cast maybe even my own ballot… Your voters vest you with agency and with power to weigh in and to either advance an idea forward if it’s going to be good on their behalf, and to stop it if it’s going to be bad for them. And that is something that I take personally… Our votes mean something, and that’s something I wish people understood is not theory. Those votes we take on the floor, on the dais, they mean something to people’s lives… The votes are not without consequence.

I recognize the vote is the power comes from the people. And I just couldn’t live with myself to give that power away to someone else trying to achieve their own objective if it wasn’t in the best interest of the people who trusted me to go and represent them and fight for them.

I couldn’t live with myself.

I often think to myself, what if I had my representative come and say to me, “you know, Shannon, I know you really cared about such-and-such thing, but this person in House District X over here really wanted this and wanted me to show up for them, and I didn’t want to make them mad, so I’m sorry that now your costs have gone up exponentially, but I didn’t want to make them mad over in this other district.”

They would have my head on a platter! And rightfully so.

So every time I put it to myself like that, it’s like, no, I’m not going to do that.

So I vote my district.

Shannon is part of our Win the Middle slate of endorsed candidates for the 2026 cycle. You can support Shannon in her race in CO-08 here.

SUPPORT SHANNON BIRD

Bobby is a native South Texan and a Grammy award-winning Tejano music artist. His hits and star status have helped define modern Tejano music and solidified his reputation as a cultural ambassador for the region.

TX-15 is one of the newly-drawn congressional districts that the Texas GOP is betting will result in a Republican hold. It has a PVI of R+7, and Trump won the district in 2024 by 18 points. But Hispanic voters in South Texas have shown significant volatility in recent cycles, and recent polling has shown meaningful movement away from Donald Trump among Hispanic voters, creating a real opening in this district that may not be as red as recent results suggest.

The district was also recently added to DCCC’s Districts in Play list, a possible precursor to being included in the Red to Blue program, an indication they view the district as a key battleground.

On the Winner, Winner podcast, we speak with the Democratic Party candidates who prove they can win the middle, beat Republicans on Trump turf, and recalibrate the party to the median voter. Here at Welcome, we work to strengthen the centrist faction that wins and governs responsibly. We support centrist Democrats running in Trump districts through WelcomePAC.

We wrote about Bobby when we endorsed him late last year:

Bobby Pulido is a legendary Tejano musician (check him out!) and small business owner, making him the ultimate political outsider. He represents a new-generation challenger whose appeal aligns with Welcome’s belief that Democrats can regain ground in South Texas by focusing on costs, community safety, and resisting the status quo that has frustrated voters. In a district Republicans redrew to be safe (+18 Trump), Pulido’s deep cultural ties and name ID offer a unique opportunity to reclaim the working-class vote.

Pulido has criticized Biden’s open borders policies, called out the use of the term “Latinx,” and highlighted his faith and support for American energy, calling himself a “Tejano Democrat.”

Bobby will be speaking at this year’s WelcomeFest, so be sure to mark your calendar for June 3 so you can join us in D.C. in person.

Be sure to listen to the whole Winner, Winner episode on YouTube, but check out this quote from my conversation with Bobby when I asked about his response to people who ask him why he’s not just running as a Republican, since he’s someone who identifies as a conservative Democrat.

I am a Democrat, but I am conservative. I want to make sure I can conserve the traditions my dad passed on to me and raise my sons the way my dad raised me, because I happen to like it. So I want to conserve that. Is that such a bad thing for me? I don’t think so. The problem with that was saying, well, I’m a conservative Democrat. People look at that and go like, “oh, no, no, then you’re just a MAGA guy.”

No, I’m not.

I’m absolutely not.

A lot of the things about our way of life that we have in South Texas people do not want them to change… And I’m here to tell you that rural America is probably polar opposite [from urban areas] when it comes to change.

They say, “I just want you to make my life better —Don’t change it.”

So we have that divide where as a Democrat, I feel like we have to understand rural America a little bit better.

Bobby is part of our Win the Middle slate of endorsed candidates for the 2026 cycle. You can support Bobby in his race against Monica de la Cruz here.

Give to Bobby

Here at Welcome, we work to strengthen a centrist faction that wins and governs responsibly. We support centrist Democrats running in Trump districts through WelcomePAC.

Today, I’m excited to be in conversation with Jamie Ager, who’s running for Congress in North Carolina’s 11th congressional district in Western North Carolina. Jamie’s a fourth-generation farmer and a business owner running Hickory Nut Gap Farm, a sustainable meat company that today employs 25 employees and works with dozens of farmers across the region.

NC-11 has a PVI of R+5, and Trump won the district in 2024 by 9.5 points. The district was recently added to the DCCC’s Red to Blue list.

Jamie is part of our Win the Middle slate of candidates for the 2026 cycle. You can support Jamie here.

SUPPORT JAMIE AGER IN NC-11

We wrote about Jamie’s campaign when we endorsed him late last year:

Jamie Ager is a populist moderate with a distinct rural identity. He’s centering his campaign on his agricultural roots. As a fourth-generation farmer who focuses on local economic resilience rather than national culture war issues, Ager explicitly campaigns on a willingness to “speak out against [his] own party” to position himself as an independent voice.

His candidacy is built around his small business Hickory Nut Gap Farms, a regional meat producer that allows him to speak authentically about how Trump’s tariffs are punishing America’s farmers. Ager’s platform is explicitly constructed to distance him from the “Asheville liberal” stereotype that Republicans often use as an attack. He is instead running as a “Mountain Democrat” who talks about his faith, his love for America, and his support for the Second Amendment.

In case you missed it, you can also catch our short documentary on Jamie’s candidacy on YouTube.