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906: Afford to argue

Prediction trader results show where to invest in the WAR War

Liam Kerr's avatar
Liam Kerr
Aug 15, 2025
∙ Paid

Note: my analysis yesterday of the Stanford-Berkeley WAR model was incorrect so we pulled it down. We are working to understand their dataset better … it still looks like Welcome candidates perform exceptionally well (actually even better than yesterday’s chart, with 4 of the top-9 competitive races as best we can tell) but will make sure we get it righ…

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