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Wolfy Jack's avatar

There seem to be some odd findings here. For Latinos, they are less likely to want stricter laws re refugees and asylum seekers yet more likely to want less people. That is contradictory in that if you don't want stricter laws you will have more entrants. Also it was odd that there was a zero number among Latinos who wanted more refugees and asylum seekers when every other group was 15-25%.

On how the youth identify I dont see any figure for all people so there is no comparison available to other age groups and I think it should be noted that as a group young people are still more liberal and voted for Harris more than the older age groups though clearly less so than in the recent past though unclear how it compares with the pre Trump years.

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Milan Singh's avatar

Here are some numbers that directly compare youth to all voters: https://youthpoll.yale.edu/spring-2025-results

Note also that based on David Shor’s numbers, Trump probably outright won voters under 26 (Shor says in the NYT interview that Trump won nonwhite men and white men and women under 26, per Blue Rose’s numbers).

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Wolfy Jack's avatar

Looking at the Yale poll it is mostly about different issues but the one measure of partisanship Trump favorability shows Trump with -6.2 favorability among all voters and -17.9 among those under 30.

I am not familiar with Shor's but one of the largest post election demographics was AP VoteCast which was based on interviews (not an exit poll which tend to be less reliable) and they show that the young cohort, though they moved towards Trump was still more likely to vote for Harris than the average voter. In the AP the percentage of each parties vote in 2024, the under 30 vote represented 17% of Harris' voters and 15% of Trumps. That is a shift to the red from 2020 where the under 30s were 15% of Biden's' voters and 10% of Trumps' , numbers which also suggest a decline in the youth vote.

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/interactive-how-key-groups-of-americans-voted-in-2024-according-to-ap-votecast

Now, I hope I am not splitting hairs. The youth trend is to the right, it is just that they are still more liberal than the average American, which also reflects in the Yale polls on Ukraine, transgenders, immigration etc. I agree they are mostly moderate like all Americans

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Howard Winet's avatar

As a scientist, I know that assuming these polls are valid requires some "faith". But the lesson they teach is not old. We cannot hope to build a civilized society, with some basis in evidence from sociobiology, until we stop obeying our "paleolithic"(see E.O. Wilson) genes, by stereotyping. Racism, ethnocentrism and ideologies/religions depend on the certainties of stereotyping. I am a gringo who grew up with a Mexican-american stepmother and siblings. I currently have a black mulatto family. Within both there were/are members who I value as friends, and others, who I love only because they are family, but otherwise, while respecting their opinions, avoid. Intermarriage, AI-aided personalized medicine and de-politicizing of our public schools, seem to be valid paths to recognizing that each person is worthy of respect as an individual, not just stereotyped as a number in a group to be manipulated.

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