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Wolfy Jack's avatar

Good article Liam. You could also refer to them as "Opt In" because Trump seems to get a large number of lower information voters who skip the midterms but show up for the presidential. However named, they are motivated to vote for the GOP by the reasons you mentioned- immigration, crime, and Identarian politics. The Ezra Klein NYTimes clearly elucidated which party the voters favored on each issue and then how important those issues were. There were issues that the Dems were favored - abortion, environment, social security, but those were all identified as less important and the Rs got support on those issues rated most important - inflation, crime, immigration.

The Identarian politics is hard to measure, but I sense it has to work for the Rs or the GOP would not have gone repeatedly with that they/them vs you ad. Ads are always carefully analyzed for effect, and though eg on LGBTQ issues or race, there was not a clear favoring of the GOP, other studies clearly show public opposition to transgender women in sports and giving puberty blockers to minors, so I think the woke agenda does freak people out even as they are hesitant to admit edit.

Liam did you look at the Ezra Klein Show with David Shor on "Democrats Need to Face Why Trump Won" This is the transcript if you aren't paywalled https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/18/opinion/ezra-klein-podcast-david-shor.html?searchResultPosition=13

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Howard Winet's avatar

Humans are not blank slates, to be overwritten by elite woke fiat, to transform to civility. They are bags of fear about their mortality and the rule of nature, guided by paleolithic genes that make them crave for the certainty of simple solutions.

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