Would be interested in seeing this with 538 projected margin or something on the x-axis, of course the people making spending decisions didn't know how these elections would go ahead of time. It looks like a normalish distribtuion but centered around D+5 races instead of even, wonder how much of that is caused by dems outperforming expectations generally?
Would be interested in seeing this with 538 projected margin or something on the x-axis, of course the people making spending decisions didn't know how these elections would go ahead of time. It looks like a normalish distribtuion but centered around D+5 races instead of even, wonder how much of that is caused by dems outperforming expectations generally?