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What Should We Make of the Midterm Polling?
A conversation with TLV and Patrick Ruffini.
Oct 16
•
Ruy Teixeira
and
Patrick Ruffini
16
9
7
54:36
Dummy’s Wall vs. a Wave
GOP Gerrymandering’s potential backfire, in three charts
Oct 15
•
Liam Kerr
12
6
Democrats Are Gaining Ground Ahead of November. But with Which Voters?
A closer look at pre-election midterm polling.
Oct 13
•
Michael Baharaeen
34
45
8
Friday Five (October 9, 2026)
Five items worth your attention.
Oct 9
•
Michael Baharaeen
and
Ruy Teixeira
36
2
2
Rent or Own? No, We’re Investing in Future Value. We’re Electing the Next Peltola
Invest to Win in candidates with the highest Future Value
Oct 8
•
Liam Kerr
10
4
The Delusions of the Democrats
No, they have not solved their problems.
Oct 8
•
Ruy Teixeira
166
129
32
This Year’s Midterm Polling Is Different from Past “Blue Wave” Elections in One, Very Specific Way
The relationship between the generic ballot and the two parties’ favorability ratings looks different in 2026 compared to any midterm election cycle…
Oct 6
•
Bryan Bennett
42
41
7
Friday Five (October 2, 2026)
Five items worth your attention.
Oct 2
•
Michael Baharaeen
and
Ruy Teixeira
36
21
5
TLP, Revisited: Life in America Feels Unsettling Right Now. Can Democrats Offer a Compelling Answer?
In an increasingly unstable time, voters are looking for strong leadership and security.
Oct 1
•
Michael Baharaeen
27
26
3
September 2026
These Races Nobody Saw Coming Will Decide the House
Districts that were once rated as “solid Republican” are now toss-ups, showing why parties should contest a broad map
Sep 30
•
Dan Conway
14
8
Ridiculing Trump Voters Is (Still) Unproductive
Liberals should beware betraying their professed values.
Sep 29
•
Erica Etelson
131
176
30
The Middle Is Still Moving
What working-class swing voters in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Iowa are telling us about 2026 and beyond
Sep 26
•
Dan Conway
75
14
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