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Congressional Competition Index Q3: The Ever-Changing House Battlefield
Republicans tried to shrink the battlefield with aggressive gerrymandering, but the 2025 elections suggest these gerrymanders might not hold up
Nov 20
•
Dan Conway
9
5
Voters are not fools
Issue positioning isn’t everything, but it’s not nothing either
Nov 17
•
Milan Singh
12
3
How Democrats Lost Black and Hispanic Voters
Dems’ problem isn’t in turning out the base — it’s keeping voters of color in the base.
Nov 15
•
Lauren Harper Pope
44
9
New Kind of Old-Fashioned Democrat
Learning from a winner
Nov 11
•
Liam Kerr
24
2
11
The Real Lessons From Last Night
Look to Virginia and New Jersey for lessons about the midterms.
Nov 5
•
Dan Conway
17
3
Responding to the Mamdani Shift
Three lessons, two myths, one warning - and join the office pool!
Nov 3
•
Liam Kerr
21
9
9
October 2025
Deciding to Back Winners
Ben McAdams: Recruiting the Calm to Beat the Storm
Oct 31
•
Liam Kerr
22
11
DECIDING TO WIN: How We Got Here
An analysis of the Democratic Party platforms from 2012 to 2024 gives us clues to the current Democratic Party struggles
Oct 28
•
Lauren Harper Pope
74
4
18
Introducing DECIDING TO WIN
Postmortem with a plan
Oct 27
•
Liam Kerr
32
14
Essential Reading in The New York Times
To beat authoritarianism, you need to win elections. Centrists do it best.
Oct 20
•
Lauren Harper Pope
32
7
Dark MAGA Police Reporting Part 4
The Cory Mills scandals are piling up, now is the chance to oust him from Congress
Oct 16
•
Liam Kerr
3
Checking In On The "Somewhats"
Democrats have lost ground with those who "somewhat" disapprove of Trump. That could cost them in the midterms.
Oct 7
•
Dan Conway
12
1
6
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